Market resolves to YES if the Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee announces a reduction in the official Bank Rate at its meeting ending 18 June 2026. The Bank Rate was held at 3.75% in April 2026 (8β1 vote). CPI fell to 2.8% in April but the BoE expects inflation to rise again later in 2026 amid Middle East energy disruption. A hold or increase resolves NO. Resolution is based solely on the MPC Summary and minutes published on the Bank of England website. Source: bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy.